Martine Aubry
François Hollande
Ségoléne Royal
Arnaud Montebourg
Manuel Valls
Jean-Michel Baylet
The first three candidates have all been active leaders in the Socialist Party for a long time and have a great deal of experience. They all worked with the former Socialist President, Francois Mitterand. it is generally expected one of these three will ultimately become the chosen candidate.
The next two candidates, Arnaud Montebourg and Manuel Valls are two young Socialists who will probably be leading challengers in the next ten to twenty years.
As for Jean-Michel Baylet, he is President of the Radical Party of the Left, a very small Party.
To put it quite simply, it is expected that the first three candidates will get approximately 80% of the votes. The last three candidates will not get more than 20% of the total votes. One should remember that Ségoléne Royal was the Socialist Candidate the last time but lost against Nicolas Sarkozy who became President. She may be eliminated early this time as it expected that the run-off will be between Martine Aubry and François Hollande.
Just over two months ago all the Socialist voters expected that DSK would be nominated as the Socialist Candidate, but his sudden legal problems in New York and now also in France, have put paid to any hopes he had. Things change rapidly in the political world !!!
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